etherial: a burning flag (politics)
[personal profile] etherial
With SFS Advisor and WPI Professor George Phillies getting a lot of lj-press today regarding his 2008 Presidential bid, I find these entries of my own topical:


Unenrolled Voters 2,000,062 48.8%
Democratic 1,526,711 37.2%
Republican 532,319 13.0%
Libertarian 23,900 .6%
Green 9,509 .2%
Other 6,133 .1%


"Unenrolled" has been the largest political affiliation in Massachusetts since 1992, and has been growing in "popularity" every year! To help keep this poll free of meddling, I included in my response what I would have estimated before I knew the exact figures.

A long time ago, we had "cross-endorsement" or "fusion voting" as standard operating procedure here in the United States. Basically, a candidate could receive nominations from several political parties. This allowed people to vote for a candidate, but also help indicate which aspect of that candidate's position most closely reflected their own views, by aligning themselves with one of the many parties nominating that candidate. This practice was systematically eliminated in 42 states as Democrats and Republicans feared losing electoral battles against more than one political party.

With roughly half of Massachusetts voters as unenrolled, it is abundantly clear that neither the Democrats nor the Republicans are offering what Massachusetts voters want, yet they consistently get all the electoral attention because of the perceived inability of "third" parties to be electable. One of the more powerful minority parties in New York, the Working Families Party has been trying to expand into Massachusetts. They've managed to put a referendum on this year's ballot to reinstate cross-endorsement (vote YES on #2!)

So, uh, they want me to work for them. I don't particularly agree with their political stance, but the opportunity to work to repair American politics and be a leader of that change is very appealing. I love the idea of working to bring back the people's confidence in the core of our political system - voting - while simultaneously eliminating the two greatest threats to our country - the Democratic and Republican parties. The hours suck - 2-10pm and the pay will be unpredictable and probably lousy, but I'm having great difficulty dismissing the idea of being a part of a movement to effect change in an ailing world, to move Massachusetts and the rest of the country forward.
From: [identity profile] dirkcjelli.livejournal.com
Since we americans spend longer researching what kind of car we want to buy than we do which candidate to support... candidates should simply pick a car, and the sales of that car will determine who serves in a given seat.

Or, you know... we could just distribute state seats according to a proportional representation system to prevent constant gerrymandering and to help third parties.
From: [identity profile] etherial.livejournal.com
Depends on what kind of gerrymandering you're talking about. Really, it should be based on school district size and shape, since those are really the communities that people move for/cling to/grow with.
From: [identity profile] dirkcjelli.livejournal.com
Sure, break voting precints up like that to prevent one person from voting more than once... but why not have the entire state vote for all X representatives?
From: [identity profile] etherial.livejournal.com
Like I said, it depends on what kind of gerrymandering you're talking about. Massachusetts Schools all have to meet certain requirements, so for representatives in Washington, Massachusetts should be represented as one bloc. Newton, as far as I can tell, should be represented in Boston by two distinct groups of officials because the city's school system is divided, so it develops distinct communities within the city.
From: [identity profile] dirkcjelli.livejournal.com
Under the present system, if 51% of the state will always vote for X, and the other 49 will always vote for Y, and both groups are homogeneously distributed, and the number of people is much larger than the number of blocks... and they are voting for 100 seats, say...

The result is that 100 who support X are elected.

If there are, instead, a third group which support Z... they will -never- elect anyone.

How can this be construed as proportional representation?
From: [identity profile] etherial.livejournal.com
um, clearly I'm answering the wrong questions here, because I know that I mostly agree with you on this matter. So, instead, I'll ask a question that you haven't answered here. Because our system isn't designed to elect platforms, but, instead, people, how do you determine which 100 people out of, say, 150 candidates, get elected?
From: [identity profile] dirkcjelli.livejournal.com
Everyone in the state is given a list with 150 names on it, and select roughly the same number of people they would have under the old system (say, 5 names). Each candidate may only receive one vote from each person.

The 100 people with the most votes win.

(also:)

Candidates would be listed alphabetically by last name (and wouldn't be allowed to change their name within 6 months of an election unless they get married... in which case, their unmarried name would still appear on the balot). If prop #2 (or something like it) passed, there might be a second column to indicate which party you are voting for them under.

Voters should be allowed to start voting about a month in advance, and should be able to change their vote if they change their mind. The number of ballots reported might be declared, but the running tallies would not be.
From: [identity profile] etherial.livejournal.com
Ah, a sort of Instant Runoff Voting.
From: [identity profile] etherial.livejournal.com
How would you arrange for the voting to take place over the course of a month? Wouldn't that be a huge security risk? How would you staff the voting booths?
From: [identity profile] dirkcjelli.livejournal.com
I would let people vote at post offices and town halls.

(essentially... make all ballots mail-in ballots, and issue some form of Voter ID card.)

If we can secure ATMs, slot machines, and online/wire bank transfers, we ought to be able to secure votes at least as well.
From: [identity profile] agthorr.livejournal.com
I think the voting system most closely resembles the lottery system. When you buy a lottery ticket, you submit a series of numbers (e.g. a vote), which are very, very carefully transferred to the central lottery system with many levels of duplication and verification to make sure that if you walk away with a receipt (receipt), that there is a corresponding record of your purchase (vote) and only one such record.

The lottery system is given very intensive testing and inspection by the state and if it goes offline for any reason the lottery company must pay the state rather enormous fines ($100,000+) for every minute of downtime. The lottery company then very, very carefully selects the winning numbers (winner) and has to do a very good job of convincing the states that the numbers (winner) cannot be tampered with, even by lottery employees.
From: [identity profile] teenyweenyowen.livejournal.com
Slot machines don't care about double-voting (they encourage) it and so aren't relevant to a discussion of voting security. ATMs and bank transfers are secured less by electronic measures than by incredibly strict accounting and audit trails. With voting there MUST NOT be an audit trail which can tie a particular voter to a particular vote. If there is such an audit trail than the voter can be rewarded or punished based on his voting record. That allows bribery, coersion, and a long list of other currupt practices. Without an audit trail that tight there is no effective way to secure electronic or other methods of voting. The only semi-securable method I'm aware of is the traditional 'wait in line once, mark form, stick in big box that later gets counted' voting. It's an interesting idea but it's really unworkable in practice.
From: [identity profile] dirkcjelli.livejournal.com
as opposed to all the graft already in the political system, where lobbyists can (and do) bribe both candidates?

as opposed to assuming that (for example) non-white ethnic voters are going to vote democrat and punishing them as a group?

Also... I used slot machines and ATMs as their requirements for electronic security are much more rigorous (and above board) than that for electronic voting machines made by the same people.

It -is- possible to confirm that someone sent a message, and to give them a number which will subsequently let them confirm that their vote is correct, without disclosing the contents of said vote to a third party.

It is called "encryption," or so I'm told.

And it -isn't- like trunks full of stolen ballot boxes found on the side of the road months after the election have ever turned up... so paper ballots are perfect because there is no way to prove that X ballot was cast by Y person who registered without revealing the contents of the ballot.
From: [identity profile] teenyweenyowen.livejournal.com
Money is still needed for a campaign, so no help.

Mass disenfranchisement through 'loosing' of voter registrations or similar means is still viable. Voter ID cards might reduce dead people voting and some things but has obvious privacy concerns. Purging of 'felons' also doesn't help any.

I will agree that slots and ATMs do have a lot higher standards right now. The point I was trying to make is that no standard, however high, is acceptable.

True it is possible with encryption to transmit the vote and confirm it without letting a 3rd party intercept it. What if you WANT the 3rd party to intercept it though? So you can collect $100 for voting 'right' for example. Just let them watch your screen as you cast your ballot.

The real problems though are what happens when all or part of the second party (i.e., the government/Diebold or some of thier employees) wants to currupt the vote? There's no electronic audit trail that can't be forged by someone with sufficient knowledge, skill and drive. Encryption can make it harder to forge a vote but does little to prevent selective loosing.

Paper ballots have a lot of problems, theft being the most obvious. However we can track that fairly well (election monitors (both/all parties( count how many were sent and how many arrived). I prefer a system where the amount of curruption can be measured and, if large enough, a recount is called (not what we really have now but achievable). Electronic voting systems inherently require either a trusted party or a way to track who voted what way to measure/prevent curruption. Neither are acceptable for political voting. That means that curruption with electronic ballots isn't really measurable. Exit polling comparisons can be used but we've seen just how effective they are at convincing people about curruption. Basically electronic-only systems cannot work acceptably so we should concentrate on improving the current systems without electronic means.

(no subject)

Date: 2006-07-31 10:17 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] neuromancerzss.livejournal.com
There are still voting strategies for this that distribute seats such that they do not represent the population. Say there are 4 seats and 200 voters, 100 Republican, 100 Democrat. There are at least 4 candidates from each party.

Since the democrats can't organize their way out of a paper bag, their voters vote 40 for D1, 30 for D2, 20 for D3, and 10 for D4.

The republicans, on the other hand, are an evil-army of efficiency. They know they won't get all the seats so they focus on only 3 candidates. They also know that the most the democrats can put into seat 3 is 33 and the most they can put into seat 4 is 25. Thus, to ensure they get at least 2 seats, they vote 34 for R1 and R2, and then 32 for R3.

The Republicans win 3 seats. Furthermore this guarantees them their 2 proportional seats even if the democrats know about it beforehand and try to counter it, so it's never harmful. Granted, it would never be this clean or sure in real life, but an organized voter base can take advantage of this system to get non-proportional representation.

I like proportional voting, but every system has its flaws.

re: proportional voting

Date: 2006-08-01 03:24 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] etherial.livejournal.com
You misread his system. If there are 4 seats and 4 democratic candidates, the 100 Democrats each vote for all 4 Democrats, ditto the Republicans. As a result, the system's tiebreaker rules take effect. Now, if there are not exactly 4 Republican Candidates, the 4 Democratic Candidates are virtually assured to all be put into office.

Re: proportional voting

Date: 2006-08-01 06:17 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] neuromancerzss.livejournal.com
I misexplained it, but the property still holds. If the Democrats spread their votes according to whim and the Republicans vote as a block then it will likely not return a proportional result. Change the example to 50 party voters with 2 votes each and the numbers work out the same.

Re: proportional voting

Date: 2006-08-01 03:10 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] dirkcjelli.livejournal.com
You'll be able to game any political system... I was attempting to show how one could try to prevent "two party gaming" to some extent...

(I don't think local geography has a lot to do with representation any more... at least not when selecting federal representation. 51% telling 49% to go die in a hole is not (good) democracy).

the "solution" to this sort of gaming is to withhold official party endorsement... the party will only allow X people to call themeselves "democrats" (this, in turn, will encourage smaller parties and independents.)

Re: polling

Date: 2006-07-31 10:01 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] etherial.livejournal.com
By the way, you didn't actually fill out a response for "other".

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